All I can say about this is there were "very reliable sources" that said there was no way that there would be a dot com crash, or that the bottom would fall out of housing market.
Also, telling a new person to the world of silver that there is no real chance of losing is doing a disservice to them. It is setting them up for failure. There is always a chance that the bottom will fall out of a market. Or even that the coin that he bought is counterfeit.
Ok, simple economics here. The only way the "bottom can fall out" of the precious metals market is through strengthening of the fiat currency we now have or a huge discovery of new silver resources. That's not going to happen because silver is in very short supply, there are no new discoveries. and the US dollar is dropping like a rock. In fact, the US dollar is dropping yet again today and that will boost the value of commodities, especially ones that are short in supply, such as silver.
There is only so much silver in the world. The intrinsic value of silver will not go down. There may be short fluctuations in the market (due to sell offs and such), but they will be short lived due to demand for silver. If you are investing in silver or gold, you better be in it for the long run. I have been since 1972. I've seen ups and downs, but I'm still better off now because of my PM holdings.
Now, that said, if you notice, everything's "going up in price". That is actually a false statement. Things aren't going up in price, the US Dollar is dropping in value (thanks to QE & Bernanke) and it takes more dollars to buy the same amount of gas, food, silver, etc.. So silver hasn't only gone up in value from a shortage of the metal, but also due to a drop in the US Dollar value. BTW, silver's up 74 cents an oz at mid-day and the US Dollar has dropped .43 to 76.83 (the danger level for the dollar is 77, anything below that and we're in trouble, keep that in mind when China dumps the US dollar very soon).
Bottom line is, silver, gold, platinum...will always be worth the same, it's the fiat currency that will fluctuate.
Oh and on counterfeits? They're out there but are very easy to spot and not real common with coinage due to the cost to mint the coins then make them look old. Reputable dealers won't sell counterfeits unless they specify they are counterfeits.
I actually picked up 3 counterfeits this month just because they
were counterfeits. They were marked as such and still are. I am using them for educational purposes. I show people the real ones, then the counterfeits so they can see the differences, and man, there are differences! I can't tell you how many times I've heard "DAMN it's not even close!" Especially with the counterfeit NORFED Ron Pauls. They're off by size, weight, design...and if there's a real concern on counterfeits, just buy graded coins that have gone through NGS, PCGS....and are sealed, then there's no doubt at all.