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How Far will the Unprepared Travel ?

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Prepper Rob:
Greetings ACA Members

My wife and I are in our 50's and have a 18 year old nonverbal low functioning autistic son.

We live in one of the last few houses before the suburbs turn into farm land.

I hear new and old preppers on podcasts speak of there fear of what the unprepared are going to do.

I belive with out gasoline, there will not be a lot of people travailing around.

I belive the people asking for help or drug / alcohol seeker will come from a walking one mile radius of my house.

How do you all feel about this ?

Prepper Rob

fritz_monroe:
Personally, I think that it will have to get pretty bad for the unprepared to head out into the country to loot.

As you mentioned, lack of gasoline will help with this.  Not to be callous, but many unprepared are in fairly bad physical shape.  Many will die just days or weeks after SHTF hits.  This will "free up" more of the resources in the cities.  I also feel that it's much easier to loot close to home.

That doesn't mean that nobody will come calling during a SHTF situation, but I feel that there won't be all that many willing to come out to the country until things get pretty bad.

IKN:
IMHO, there are too many factors that could affect any true answer to your question. Factors like terrain, climate, how bad off people are, and how widespread the problem is.
I personally think that during the initial SHTF situation, the ill prepared will tend to migrate towards larger towns and cities since the general sentiment would be that's where help and resources are going to be and for a local area SHTF, they're probably right.
If/when things get bad in the cities, I believe people will tend to try and travel major highways and, probably, heading south (depending on time of year) with considerations towards safety, water, and food.
Some will take the roads less traveled probably thinking there will be more resources due to fewer people. Either way, I think most will travel in groups for safety in numbers, if for nothing else.

For me, living in a northern climate, the test will be surviving until the late fall. By that time, food resources are getting scarce and dropping temperatures will make it harder for people to stay warm and sheltered. By then, most unprepared people will be well on their way south to a warmer climate.

CarbideAndIron:
I live outside the city, but not quite rural. Couple acres, neighbors all got 2-20 acres of land. Probably the urban rural fringe that Jack talks about.
I was pretty shocked to see homeless show up in the small towns around me, like my old town of 4500. But they don't seem to leave town and head away from the resources. I'd imagine this could show a trend of what the unprepared might do.
All about networking with your neighbors. Communicate with each other to improve the security of your area. We keep a close eye on the back of our property, because I did wander across a couple homeless camps outside town where we would walk the dog with my kids. So places that used to be safe, aren't what they used to be.

iam4liberty:

--- Quote from: CarbideAndIron on October 15, 2019, 07:45:18 AM ---I was pretty shocked to see homeless show up in the small towns around me, like my old town of 4500. But they don't seem to leave town and head away from the resources. I'd imagine this could show a trend of what the unprepared might do.

--- End quote ---

Many small towns have food banks/soup kitchens sponsored by church groups.  They are a blessing but can incentivise some to relocate.  You might want to check if that is the case.

Which brings up a pertinent point.  The unprepared will eventually travel to wherever there is food and where they will feel safe.  Look at relocations during dust bowl/depression.  Towns will try to set up camps on outside parameter so as to not be overwhelmed.  We have seen this pattern play out for centuries. 

Grapes of Wrath used to be discussed in schools as a practical not political piece.  It is still a relevant book of fiction to give some perspective on motivation during times of crisis.

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