Survivalism & Self Sufficiency Topics > COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic

Coronavirus COVID-19 (a.k.a. 2019-nCoV) outbreak in China

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Mr. Bill:
NPR, 1/20/20: Coronavirus In China: Over 200 Cases, Human-To-Human Transmission

--- Quote ---New information is being reported about the new coronavirus that emerged in China in December and causes respiratory symptoms such as pneumonia — heightening concerns about its potential threat to humans.

On Monday, Chinese authorities reported that the total caseload has risen to over 200, roughly tripling the previous number. In addition, authorities in Wuhan, where the virus was first reported, confirmed a third death but did not release details except to say that the three victims, all men, had prior illnesses.

Health authorities believe that the virus probably originated in an as yet unidentified animal species and was transmitted to humans by contact with animals at a live animal market in the central city of Wuhan. ...

On Monday, Zhong Nanshan, the epidemiologist who leads the committee on the outbreak for China's National Health Commission, gave a TV interview stating there was evidence of human-to-human transmission.

China's National Health Commission also confirmed that there has been infection of medical staff. ...
--- End quote ---

This is unusual for China:

--- Quote ---...On Monday, President Xi Jinping gave an interview to the state-run Xinhua News Agency in which he called on officials to "release outbreak information in a timely manner and deepen international cooperation." ...
--- End quote ---

Mr. Bill:
AP, 1/21/20: US gets 1st case of mysterious new Chinese illness

--- Quote ---...a Washington state resident who returned last week from the outbreak’s epicenter was hospitalized in good condition near Seattle.

The man, identified only as a Snohomish County resident is in his 30s, was not considered a threat to medical staff or the public, health officials said. ...

Late last week, U.S. health officials began screening passengers from Wuhan in central China, where the outbreak began, at three U.S. airports — New York City’s Kennedy airport and the Los Angeles and San Francisco airports. On Tuesday, the CDC announced it will add Chicago’s O’Hare airport and Atlanta’s airport to the mix later this week.

What’s more, officials will begin forcing all passengers that originate in Wuhan to go to one of those five airports if they wish to enter the U.S. ...
--- End quote ---

The Timeline Of The Coronavirus Outbreak

December 31 2019:
The WHO China Country Office was informed of cases of pneumonia of unknown cause detected in Wuhan City, Hubei Province of China. Around 44 suspected cases were reported in the month of December.

January 1 2020:
A seafood market was closed for environmental sanitation and disinfection after being closely linked with the patients.

January 5 2020:
Doctors ruled out severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) as being the cause of the virus, as well as bird flu, Middle East respiratory syndrome and adenovirus. Meanwhile, Hong Kong reported

January 9 2020:
A preliminary investigation identified the respiratory disease as a new type of coronavirus, Chinese state media reported.

Officials at Wuhan Municipal Health Commission reported the outbreak's first death on January 9, a 61-year-old man.

January 13 2020:
A Chinese woman in Thailand was the first confirmed case of the mystery virus outside of China. The 61-year-old was quarantined on January 8, but has since returned home in a stable condition after having treatment, the Thai Health Ministry said.

January 14 2020:
The WHO told hospitals around the globe to prepare, in the 'possible' event of the infection spreading.

It said there is some 'limited' human-to-human transmission of the virus. Two days previously, the UN agency said there was 'no clear evidence of human to human transmission'.

January 16 2020:
A man in Tokyo is confirmed to have tested positive for the disease after travelling to the Chinese city of Wuhan.

A second death, a 69-year-old man, was reported by officials at Wuhan Municipal Health Commission. He died in the early hours of January 15 at Jinyintan Hospital in Wuhan city having first been admitted to hospital on December 31.

January 17 2020:
Thailand announces it has detected a second case. The 74-year-old woman had been quarantined since her arrival on Monday. She lived in Wuhan.

Scientists at Imperial College London fear up to 4,500 patients in Wuhan may have caught the virus. A report said if cases are this high, substantial human to human transmission can't be ruled out.

January 20 2020:
China reported a sharp rise in the number of people infected with a new coronavirus over the weekend, including 136 more cases in Wuhan city.
The outbreak spread across China, as authorities in Shenzhen in southern China reported one case, and Chinese state media said Beijing had reported two cases.

South Korea confirmed its first case - a 35-year-old woman arriving at Seoul’s Incheon airport tested positive for the virus. She had been in Wuhan the week prior.

The total number of confirmed cases reached 205, including three deaths and four confirmed cases outside China.

Details were not revealed about the third death.
Lines growing in China for face masks -

Medics in China screening passengers -

Airlines are stocking planes with hazmat suites -

suspected cases in Australia and Philippines -

Chinese officials urge people not to travel in and out of city at center of virus outbreak -

Mr. Bill:

--- Quote from: scoop on January 21, 2020, 02:54:11 PM ---China reported a sharp rise in the number of people infected with a new coronavirus over the weekend

--- End quote ---

One of the problems we have during a disease outbreak: when there's a sharp rise in reports, does that mean there was a sharp rise in cases of the disease, or does it mean there were a whole lot mroe people tested (and therefore a whole lot more cases discovered)?  We don't know.

Also, we don't know how many people are infected with the same virus, but are only experiencing mild symptoms and don't bother going to a doctor.  This can also distort our perception of the death rate (if it's only the seriously-ill who get tested).

China is locking down the city of Wuhan and preventing any travel out of the city.


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