Author Topic: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)  (Read 385105 times)

Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #660 on: August 15, 2013, 08:24:23 PM »
Our crops are doing great  so far <fingerscrossed>

What are you growing this year and when do you potentially harvest?

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Offline cheryl1

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #661 on: August 15, 2013, 08:29:06 PM »
Corn and soybeans, October, same old same old :)

Offline CharlesH

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #662 on: August 16, 2013, 06:17:59 AM »
Do you all follow future's prices on your corn and soybeans Cheryl?  How do they compare to last year?  I'm north of you in Michigan and do a much smaller grass fed cow/calf and chicken operation on the side.  The bottom has fallen out of hay prices (just when we bought some land with the money I made from my Afghan deployment and seeded it for hay   :P ). However, the price I pay for chick feed and layer mash doesn't seem to have changed much.

Offline cheryl1

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #663 on: August 16, 2013, 06:22:15 AM »
We monitor the daily spot prices and several months ahead. Prices are trending down.

Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #664 on: August 29, 2013, 10:18:12 AM »
A growing season that began unusually wet and cold in the Midwest is finishing hot and dry, renewing worries of drought and the impact it may have on crops. Temperatures soared to records in recent days in parts of the region, reaching nearly 100 degrees in some areas. The heat wave struck many farm states â?? from the Dakotas to Wisconsin, down to Missouri â?? that have seen too little rain this growing season. http://www.theguardian.com/world/feedarticle/10951642



Drought recently reestablished itself across Iowa, northern Missouri, and the lower Mississippi Valley.

http://www.utsandiego.com/news/2013/aug/29/midwest-hot-dry-spell-brings-back-drought-worries/
http://www.theguardian.com/world/feedarticle/10951642

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Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #665 on: September 05, 2013, 05:49:29 PM »
Almost one-third of the country's population in all thirteen regions of Namibia face moderate to high level of food insecurity after rains failed in this southern African country for a second year. With crops failing, cattle dying, and even boreholes drying up, the Red Cross says the country is headed for catastrophe if immediate action is not taken.

http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2013/09/201395104545698559.html
http://www.namibiansun.com/disasters/oshikoto-governor-report-food-shortage.56324

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Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #666 on: September 05, 2013, 05:53:17 PM »
http://weather.yahoo.com/midwest-hot-dry-spell-brings-back-drought-worries-142411385.html?.tsrc=att
http://www.wisfarmer.com/features/midwest-hot-dry-spell-brings-back-drought-worries-----jcpg-334912-222535551.html
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20130905-708229.html

US drought monitor:
The Midwest: Well above-normal temperatures (6 to 10 degF), continued lack of rain, and record to near-record low August rainfall in some areas has led to rapidly declining topsoil moisture conditions in parts of the Midwest. After such an ideal start to the growing season (March-June; polar opposite compared to last year), the past two months have been much drier than usual, with temperatures slowly increasing.

Cedar

Offline Oil Lady

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #667 on: September 06, 2013, 12:30:16 PM »
Sorry. I have nothing to add. I just wanted to dispel the number 666 from the "Number of Replies" tabulation for this very groovy thread.



Yeah, seriously. ;)

Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #668 on: September 06, 2013, 12:32:40 PM »
LOL..

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Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #669 on: October 29, 2013, 07:11:15 PM »
Starved Syria civilians flee besieged Damascus suburb
After 9 months of siege, supplies in Moadamiya had been running desperately short, and residents had pleaded to be saved from starvation. The situation has become so desperate that earlier this month Muslim clerics issued a religious ruling allowing people to eat cats, dogs and donkeys just to survive. Those animals are usually considered unfit for human consumption in Islam. "We didn't see a piece of bread for nine months," one woman told the BBC. "We were eating leaves and grass."

http://cir.ca/news/syria-food-crisis
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-24730536
http://www.npr.org/blogs/parallels/2013/10/07/230089576/a-chemical-attack-and-now-food-shortages-in-syrian-town

To feed a family with eight large slices of bread, it costs about 400 Syrian pounds, which can be $2 to $3 depending on the exchange rate.

"I told you, no food allowed. I didn't make the rules," he shouted, somewhat exasperated. "There are people bigger than me and you who make these rules, and they're watching us right now. No food is allowed inside. Now go away."

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Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #670 on: October 29, 2013, 07:36:05 PM »
Hopefully corn prices will come down for us (sorry Cheryl)
The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) yesterday reported that farmers had gathered 59 percent of crops in the main growing areas as of October 27, compared to 39 percent a week earlier. Sixty-two percent of the crop was in good or excellent condition, up from the 60 percent a week earlier that received the top ratings. According to the USDA’s September forecast, the US may produce a record 13.8 billion bushels this season. The market is expecting the department’s updated projection on November 8.

Soybean for January delivery was unchanged at $12.6600 a bushel at 13:22 GMT. The USDA yesterday reported that harvesting of the oilseed in the US was 77 percent completed as of October 27, matching the average pace in the previous five years.

Wheat for December delivery meanwhile was trading at $6.7975 a bushel.

The sugar price has today fallen to a two-week low in New York as investors sold futures and traders judged that a fire at the port of Santos in Brazil will have only a limited impact on supplies. (you did know about the refinery fire a couple weeks ago right?)

Coffee = Down to the lowest prices in 4 years
Rubber = Up

Olive oil prices shoot up in West Bank. Colonists target trees which stand for Palestinian steadfastness. Olive oil prices in the West Bank have shot up during this year’s season as output diminished following the destruction of olive trees by Israeli colonists. A kilogramme of olive oil is selling this harvest season for a much higher 25-30 (Dh26-32) Shekels, compared to 12-17 Shekels last year. The Palestinian government, farmers and owners of olive presses, which are used in the final stage of extraction, blame the aggression of colonists for the shortage and the related increase in prices. They said the colonists have uprooted thousands of olive trees in recent years.

Cedar

Offline cheryl1

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #671 on: October 30, 2013, 06:30:57 AM »
Harvest is so good this year prices are going to tank. At least there is a lot of grain to sell, so it'll probably end up about even. This year is better than last years drought for sure.

Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #672 on: October 30, 2013, 09:53:43 AM »
And olive oil makes the news today --
According to the watchdog, some 1,650 trees have been vandalized in the past two months in the West Bank with most of the damage occurring in October. 
http://rt.com/news/palestinian-olive-trees-vandalized-942/
http://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2013/10/19/israeli-settlerschopdown100treesinwestbankvillage.html

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Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #673 on: October 30, 2013, 01:41:42 PM »
Within the last hour, Sen Pat Roberts, R-Kan., on farm bill: 'We're going to lose credibility if we don't get this bill done. We've got to get this bill done!'

 ??? Dude, you guys on the Hill apparently have NO credibility left with most of the world, let alone John Q Public.

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Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #674 on: December 17, 2013, 12:01:10 PM »
So today a friend in Texas called me and wanted to know why he could no longer get Pecans in Texas.. I was mystified why this would happen and honored he would think I would know this off the top of my head since I have never even knowingly seen a pecan tree in my life.

Well I did a bit of info and there are several factors why there is a pecan shortage. So stock up if you (pe)can.

IN 2009 someone from the USS introduced Pecans to China and now they are going crazy for them. We are now selling at least 25% of our pecans to China. Prices have gone from $2.XX a pound for whole pecans in 2009 to $14.XX a pound in 2013 for pecan pieces in places. A 9" pecan pie in some places is now going for $34US.

So with the drought the last three years and then the hard winter hit last year and now just a few weeks ago, there is a mad rush for pecans, as they are going to be even more scarce.

Cedar


Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #675 on: December 18, 2013, 10:19:41 AM »
Had time to look at the commodity reports this morning..

Cocoa is on short supply and has gone up 21.08% in the last 12 months:
The humble candy bar could soon change beyond recognition as palm oil, chemical flavorings and fillers replace increasingly scarce cocoa beans and expensive ingredients. And that means real chocolates will become a luxury item -- for the wealthy only. "People are prepared to pay 70 pounds ($113) per kilogram (2.2 pounds) for chocolate" said Angus Kennedy, a former chocolate taster for major manufacturers.

The cacao tree, source of cocoa, the raw material of chocolate, is being whacked by fungal diseases. There are diseases in South America that are threatening to wipe out the industry there, as well as the rest of the world if they spread," said Gockowski, of the International Institute of Tropical Agriculture. Global cocoa reserves have been falling since 1991, and the price of cocoa futures it at its highest in 10 years. At its root, the chocolate shortage is caused by an imbalance between the demand for chocolate and the land available for planting. Traditionally, farmers have fought back against disease by planting trees on new land. Today, little land is available.

Shrimp prices up 64% in the last 12 months
Shrimp prices soar as disease affects global farm-raised supply.  Shrimp prices are at an all-time high, and still climbing, because of a disease called early mortality syndrome, or EMS, that's plaguing the three largest producers of farm-raised shrimp — Thailand, China and Vietnam. The disease does not affect humans. The Gulf Coast produces about 175 million pounds of shrimp per year, Williams said. U.S. demand is about 1.4 billion pounds. 

Donald Lightner, a University of Arizona professor and one of the world's leading experts on shrimp pathology, led a team of researchers that recently found EMS is caused by a bacterial agent. Transmitted orally, it enters the shrimp's gastrointestinal tract and produces a toxin that destroys the digestive organ and other tissue. EMS affects shrimp in the first 10-40 days after stocking and has a 40 percent to 90 percent mortality rate, according to the Global Aquaculture Alliance, a St. Louis-based trade association. The disease, which affects white shrimp and black tiger shrimp, was first found in eastern China in 2009.


Peanuts up 263.17 % in the last 12 months
CNNMoney reports that Kraft is raising prices for its Planters brand peanut butter by 40 percent while ConAgra has already increased the price for its Peter Pan by 20 percent. CNNMoney also states that J.M. Smucker, the maker of Jif, will hike their prices up about 30 percent. AP Reported that U.S. farmers were expected to produce roughly 1.8 million tons of peanuts this year. This is down nearly 13 percent from last year, and we may be lucky to see even that happen. Georgia, the largest peanut-producing state in the country, saw record-breaking heat and a lack of rainfall that prevented some peanut seeds from even germinating in the field. Plants that did grow were literally cooked in the summer heat. The result being poor-quality nuts or sometimes nothing at all. This year was Georgia's worst peanut crop in more than 20 years.

Propane is also up 40% over the last 12 months.

Cedar

Offline mountainmoma

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #676 on: December 18, 2013, 09:43:28 PM »
What about the wheat prices we talked about last week somewhere else on this forum ? I saw 50lb bags of organic red wheat berries jump from $19 to $29 over just last month.

And yes, peanut butter is becoming unaffordable. we have one jar I bought at a grocery liquidation store in the house, but it is no longer sitting by the case in the pantry

Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #677 on: January 06, 2014, 10:04:35 AM »
Drought Map December 2013


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Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #678 on: January 06, 2014, 10:08:15 AM »
Wheat nears 2-week peak as cold threatens U.S. crops.  Freezing temperatures may hurt U.S. winter wheat.
U.S. wheat futures approached a two-week high on Monday as the coldest weather in two decades threatened to damage dormant crops in the United States. Near-record low temperatures in the U.S. Midwest and Plains raised the risk of damage to the dormant U.S. wheat crop and threatened to stall the movement of grain to markets, MDA Weather Services forecaster Don Keeney said.

An arctic blast that swept across the heartland pushed morning lows to -4 to -10 degrees Fahrenheit (-20 to -23 Celsius) in the top wheat state of Kansas, while Nebraska and Colorado had morning lows in the -12 to -20 F range, he said. Cold weather can boost demand for livestock feed because animals eat more to generate energy to keep warm.

On a sidenote: "Once a monster crop in South America can be confirmed, look for China to begin cancelling U.S. soybean purchases and switch to buying from South America."

Cedar

Offline mountainmoma

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #679 on: January 06, 2014, 10:47:05 AM »
Yeah, if this drought starts to affect California agriculture, we are in a world of hurt, It is going to be interesting how it plays out this summer -- last time in the 70's, it was cities vs farms for available water, and it will affect prices for the californai exports of fruits and veggies

Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #680 on: January 06, 2014, 10:59:42 AM »

Offline JC2

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Offline JC2

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #682 on: January 09, 2014, 01:40:24 PM »
Hog prices going up because of shortage and now this.....

http://ca.news.yahoo.com/fatal-pig-virus-now-affects-22-u-states-184553862.html

Offline CharlesH

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #683 on: January 09, 2014, 04:31:41 PM »
That quote on the swine virus is interesting.  I just sent three berks in for processing.  I buy feeders from a small breeder in SW Michigan and hopefully he will be fine.  I hope to get 8 in the late spring.

Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #684 on: January 10, 2014, 04:19:08 AM »
Stock up for the SuperBowl? Kraft confirms Velveeta shortage
http://www.nbcnews.com/business/not-stunt-velveeta-confirms-shortage-2D11887843

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Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #685 on: January 12, 2014, 08:13:23 PM »
November 26, 2013 - Global food prices declined by 6 percent over the last quarter, but are still not far from their historical peaks, according to the World Bank Group’s latest Food Price Watch report. Wheat markets remain tight; and weather-related concerns in Brazil, Paraguay, Argentina, China, India, Ukraine, and the Russian Federation may further drive up wheat prices over the next few months.

Good news -- January 7, 2014 Cold weather overnight did not harm oranges and other fruit across Florida's citrus-growing regions.

Bad news -- January 7, 2014 As much as 15 percent of winter-wheat plants in the Great Plains face damage, Kyle Tapley, a senior agricultural meteorologist




Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #686 on: January 12, 2014, 08:23:13 PM »
January 8th, 2014
Hunt for Food Sends Venezuelans to Colombian Border Towns
Venezuelan taxi driver Jose Sotomayor drives four hours through army checkpoints every week from the city of Maracaibo to buy rice in Colombia for his family at 10 times the government-set price back home.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-01-08/hunt-for-food-sends-venezuelans-to-colombian-border-towns.html

January 10th, 2014
An estimated 2.2 million Zimbabweans are facing food insecurity in the country that once was known as the breadbasket of southern Africa.  Zimbabwe is now counting on imports of 150,000 tons of corn from South Africa to overcome a shortage.
http://www.voanews.com/content/zimbabwe-imports-corn-to-avert-food-shortage/1827294.html

How Food Crisis affects people (long 300 page read)
http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2012/04/05/000333037_20120405011345/Rendered/PDF/678650PUB0EPI0067902B09780821389409.pdf

January 9th, 2014
China faces food shortages over polluted agricultural land -- The Chinese government has revealed that 3.33m hectares of its land – an area nearly as large as Belgium – is too polluted to grow crops, meaning that the country might have to import more food to feed its growing population.
http://blueandgreentomorrow.com/2014/01/09/china-faces-food-shortages-over-polluted-agricultural-land/

Cedar

Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #687 on: January 28, 2014, 12:42:45 PM »


Cedar

Offline CharlesH

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #688 on: January 28, 2014, 05:16:29 PM »
I love these charts. Thanks for posting them.

Offline Cedar

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Re: Food prices increasing, possible shortages (merged topics)
« Reply #689 on: February 04, 2014, 10:12:07 AM »
You might want to check out this thread on the Californian water shortage http://thesurvivalpodcast.com/forum/index.php?topic=48087.0

Cedar