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Multi-day severe weather outbreak on the horizon

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stump172:
From the guys at TornadoVideos.net   http://www.tornadovideos.net/component/content/article/36-tornadoes/1429-multi-day-severe-weather-outbreak-on-the-horizon


Residents across the entire southern and central Plains region are urged to take time now to prepare and be mindful of severe weather this weekend. The threat begins this afternoon, when tornadoes, destructive hail and damaging thunderstorm winds are possible; the threat will continue through at least Sunday, as a very potent storm system makes its way across the Great Plains. Today's focus will be on the Texas and Oklahoma panhandle region, north into western Kansas. If storms are able to fire, strong directional shear and moderate instability will provide an environment conducive for strong tornadoes this afternoon into the late evening. As the storm system progresses gradually eastward Friday, much of Oklahoma and Kansas will be under the threat of severe weather, along with northwest Missouri into southeast Nebraska and southern Iowa; all modes of severe weather will be possible. The "main event" at this point appears to be Saturday, with the threat shifting very little as compared to the previous day. Forecast models have continued to show the wind fields and instability associated with this storm system coming together to support a widespread tornado outbreak scenario, with supercell thunderstorms a possibility along a warm front that is likely to be oriented across central Iowa and southeast NE, and extending south along a dryline that will stretch from around Grand Island, NE into northern and central Texas. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted this area as a rare "Day 3 Moderate Risk"; the last issuance of such an outlook was in association with the devastating April 27 outbreak in the southeast United States last year. As always, we encourage everyone to monitor local media for updates, have a NOAA weather radio with fresh batteries, and a plan to find an adequate underground shelter or safe room (highway overpasses DO NOT qualify! Of note, check out http://www.kansas.com/2012/04/10/2290529/state-reminds-drivers-of-turnpike.html about shelters along the Kansas turnpike).


Stump172
wxready.com

SteveandTracyinKY:
We have been watching this pretty close. I would have to suggest to anyone to find and follow Reed Timmer on facebook. Reed is the owner of http://www.tornadovideos.net/ and he posts high level data constantly. It has really helped us out this year.

I am not associated with TVN or Timmer in any way, other than I follow him of facebook and use his posts and information. I discovered him from the series StormChasers on Discovery.

Nicodemus:
Stay safe Great Plains!

stump172:
Update continues to be ominous for the Great Plains.  If this were a hurricane warning, people would be evacuating today.  Might not be such a bad idea unless you've got an underground shelter.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/


Tornado Outbreak Likely Saturday Evening - Folks in the Great Plains states, particularly Kansas and Oklahoma, need to monitor weather conditions closely today through Saturday night. The Storm Prediction Center is forecasting a high risk of severe weather, including strong tornadoes, over Kansas and Oklahoma on Saturday evening into the overnight hours. The overall risk area includes Nebraska, much of Iowa, western Illinois, northwest Missouri, and northern Texas. Please monitor www.spc.noaa.gov and weather.gov for the latest information.

rustyknife:
Wow. I sure glad I'm home for the weekend. Be carefull out there everyone.

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